State Climatologist Jim Angel says the latest long range forecast doesn’t show a repeat of last winter’s snowy conditions.  He says the forecast right now is calling for below average precipitation in Illinois, but warns that it is still early for a winter forecast, so things could change.  The forecast for September and the fall is calling for equal chances of above, below and average temperatures and precipitation.  Angel says El Nino conditions could have an effect on the weather, but the forecast says there’s only a 65 percent chance of those conditions.  Even if they do occur, he says they likely won’t have a strong effect.  Strong El Nino conditions usually mean a wet and cool fall and a dry and warm winter.